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| MoneyWednesday, November 7, 2007 9:15 AM CST |
Auto industry down 150,000 workers
DETROIT — With Chrysler LLC’s recent announcement of an additional 12,000 job cuts, the number of jobs to be eliminated from U.S. and Canadian automakers and their former parts arms in the second half of this decade has grown to 150,000 — and counting. With buyouts or early retirement offers expected at all three Detroit automakers in the wake of new UAW contracts that allow new hires to get less in pay or benefits, the number is sure to grow soon. And in the future, as the American automakers face competition from more and more rivals from low-cost countries, analysts say, more painful cuts will almost certainly follow. Just days after hourly workers ratified a new labor contract, Chrysler said it plans to nearly double the 13,000 job cuts it announced in February, now targeting the elimination of more than 25,000 hourly and salaried workers, or nearly one-third of its workforce. Add the Chrysler cuts to the expected job cuts — at least 137,400 of them — already in the works at General Motors Corp., Ford Motor Co. and its ACH unit, and Delphi Corp. between 2005 and 2009, and the total American job reductions rise to about 150,000. The total, derived from an analysis by the Center for Automotive Research earlier this year and subsequent company announcements, includes the 34,410 hourly buyouts and retirements at GM last year, and the more than 30,000 jobs eliminated at Ford since 2005 and the planned shutdowns and sell-offs of 35 Delphi and ACH plants. That doesn’t include the thousands of jobs lost at other auto suppliers affected by the downsizing. And still, analysts, union officials and autoworkers say the pain isn’t over. “We’ve been overbuilding for years and years, and now it’s catching up to us because we’re losing market share,” said Kenyon Hall, a 31-year-old assembly worker at Chrysler’s plant in Belvedere, where the automaker plans to eliminate a shift. “They waited too long to do something. Now it’s going to be painful for a while.” Analysts expect that even the latest restructurings leave Detroit automakers larger than they will need to be in future. “Unless there’s significant changes, you will have more cuts,” said Kevin Tynan, auto analyst at Argus Research. “My target for where the market settles out has GM with 20 percent of the U.S. market, Ford with 10 percent and Chrysler at 10 percent.” Through October this year, GM sales were almost 24 percent of the market, Ford owned nearly 16 percent and Chrysler sales made up almost 13 percent. Combined, they share less than 52 percent of the U.S. market. A decade ago, they had almost 72 percent of the market. Erich Merkle, analyst and chief forecaster at IRN Inc., a Grand Rapids, Mich.-based automotive consulting firm, agreed the domestic auto industry hasn’t reached the bottom yet. “In terms of pain, I don’t have a solid number,” Merkle said, “but in my opinion, they’re still working around the edges.” |
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